2024-12-14 04:31:10
Yesterday, A shares directly opened higher at 3490 points, basically only 10 points away from the 3500 points I said. From the perspective of timing, yesterday's opening was a lightening point. Nowadays, many people are worried that this is a shipment rather than a dish washing. After reading this article, you will know the specific answer.I have been looking at traditional industries since November, but domestic institutions are really too weak, and hot money is still speculating. However, the next market trend should still be biased towards an operating rhythm of fundamentals+trends+changing hands. After all, the year is approaching and the fund ranking war is about to start again.The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.
At present, the market is qualitative washing, not shipping, so the shock consolidation here is still an opportunity to try to find a new direction! After short-term consolidation, it will continue to hit new heights!Steady friends can wait, and when consumption and robots retreat, see who can stand out and continue to lead the way. Aggressive friends can fast-forward and fast-forward the test, and the risk here is not great, that is, the difficulty of stock selection is hell.There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.
Therefore, after the short-term shock consolidation, when it breaks through 3500 points again, it should have the foundation for acceleration. I would like to remind you that there is no basis for a sharp drop here. No matter the meeting expectation or the tone of maintaining stability, it is impossible for it to continue to get out of control and cause financial risks here.Generally speaking, I have been trying to adjust positions around the direction of new quality productivity recently. After this wave of short-term stepping back, there is a high probability that a new and old cycle will be switched. I won't chase after the high price, so I'd better do my own business quietly!After the high-level adjustment, all short sellers are paper tigers. In the short term, they can rely on their financial advantages to pull up and smash, affecting the expectations of retail investors! However, the medium and long-term trend will not change, and the division of institutional funds is still very clear.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide
12-14